May 31, 2026
Learn why mortgage rates change even when the Bank of England doesn’t. Explore UK swap rates, market expectations and fixed-rate pricing.
Table of contents
One of the questions I hear most often is:
“If the Bank of England hasn’t changed interest rates, why has my mortgage rate changed?”
It’s a fair question.
Many people assume that fixed mortgage rates move only when the Bank of England changes Base Rate. In reality, lenders are constantly adjusting their mortgage pricing based on what financial markets think will happen in the future, not just where rates are today.
This is where swap rates come in.
To help explain this, I’ve added a new UK Swap Rates section to PropertyResearch.uk. The page tracks daily 2-year, 5-year and 10-year UK swap rates and shows how they have moved over time alongside the Bank of England Base Rate. You can find it here - Swap Rates
My daughter is due to move into her new home next week.
Over the last few weeks she has received updated mortgage offer letters from Halifax regularly. Although the Bank of England has not been making weekly interest rate changes, her mortgage pricing has continued to improve.
Her 2-year fixed rate has fallen from 5.23% to 4.97% as she approaches completion.
That’s a reduction of 0.26 percentage points, or 26 basis points.
The obvious question is:
“Why did Halifax reduce the rate if Base Rate didn’t change?”
The answer is that lenders don’t simply look at today’s Bank Rate. They also look at wholesale funding costs and market expectations, which are heavily influenced by swap rates.
In simple terms, swap rates are market interest rates that reflect expectations about future borrowing costs.
For example:
When swap rates fall, lenders often have room to reduce fixed mortgage pricing.
When swap rates rise, lenders may increase rates even if the Bank of England has not changed Base Rate.
This is one of the reasons mortgage headlines can sometimes seem confusing.
You might see:
Or the opposite:
Both situations can happen because swap rates reflect where markets think interest rates are heading in the future.
The new page includes:
The aim is to make one of the mortgage market’s most important indicators easier to understand for homeowners, buyers and anyone watching mortgage rates.
If you’ve ever wondered why your lender changes rates when the Bank of England hasn’t moved, the new Swap Rates section should help explain exactly what’s happening behind the scenes.
Comments (0)
Want to comment on this page? Login or Register.